2010 Padres Predictions – So how did I do?

Monday October 4th

Now that the Padres season is over I thought I would see how I did with my pre-season predictions of the Padres players performance.

if you want to take a look at the original post from March 31st . Many said I was crazy to be so optimistic about the team and especially about the performance of the pitchers. So you tell me, how do you think I did as a prognosticator?

Here were my pre-season predictions and in Red, how they actually did in 2010.

2010 Padres Projections


Pitching Staff
Starting Pitchers (This will add up to more than 162 starts)

Chris Young – Traded in July after
– 16 starts 97.1 IP 7-3 3.52 era 1.18 whip

4 starts 20.0 IP 2-0 0.90 ERA 1.050 WHIP Injured most of season

Jon Garland
– 33 starts 201.2 IP 14-11 3.83 ERA 1.28 Whip

33 starts 200.0 IP 14-12 3.47 ERA 1.315 WHIP

Kevin Correia
– 31 starts 189.1 IP 12-10 3.89 ERA 1.29 Whip

26 starts 145.0 IP 10-10 5.40 ERA 1.490 WHIP (removed from Starting rotation in August)

Clayton Richard
– 30 starts 169.2 IP 12-6 3.82 ERA 1.38 Whip

33 starts 201.2 IP 14-9 3.75 ERA 1.408 WHIP

Mat Latos
– 22 starts 141.2 IP 6-5 4.03 ERA 1.39 Whip

31 starts 184.2 IP 14-10 2.92 ERA 1.083 WHIP (Faded down stretch)

Tim Stauffer (Starts the season in Bullpen)
– 14 starts 82.1 IP 5-5 3.74 ERA 1.44 Whip

7 starts (32 appearances) 82.2 IP 6-5 1.85 ERA 1.077 WHIP
As a Starter – 3-2 39.1 IP 1.83 ERA 1.042 WHIP

Sean Gallagher (Starts the season in Bullpen)
– 12 starts 67.2 IP 3-4 4.26 ERA 1.37 Whip

Gone at end of June. No Starts as Padre 15 appearances 5.40 ERA

Wade LeBlanc (Starts season in AAA)
– 8 starts 48.2 IP 2-1 3.48 ERA 1.29 Whip

25 starts 146.0 IP 4.25 ERA 1.425 WHIP
Faded down stretch. ERA was 3.48 at end of July. Did not make start in Sept/Oct

Bullpen
Heath Bell – traded in July
– 21 saves 2.77 ERA 1.05 Whip

Not traded 67 appearances 70 IP 47 saves 1.200 WHIP

Mike Adams
– 65 appearances 2.55 ERA 1.08 WHIP

70 Appearances 66.2 IP 1.76 ERA 1.065 WHIP

Luke Gregerson
– 65 appearances 3.30 ERA 1.26 WHIP

80 appearances 78.1 IP 3.22 ERA 0.830 Overused and it showed down stretch
Performance will likely decline in 2011

Edward Mujica
– 62 appearances 3.88 ERA 1.22 WHIP

59 appearances 69.2 IP 3.62 ERA 0.933 WHIP

Adam Russell
– 56 appearances 3.79 ERA 1.44 WHIP

12 Appearances 15.2 IP 4.02 ERA 1.213 WHIP – Spent much of the season in AAA and had 14 SV there

Joe Thatcher – (Starts Season on DL)
– 49 appearances 3.18 ERA 1.27 WHIP

65 appearances 35.0 IP 1.29 ERA 0.857 WHIP

Aaron Poreda (Starts season in AAA – Reliever)
– 2 starts, 22 appearances 23.1 IP 0-2 2.78 ERA 1.55 WHIP

Spent entire season in Minors – AA & AAA

Starting 8 (With platoon in CF – 9)
Adrian Gonzalez – Traded in July
– 332 AB .277/.391 24 HR

Not Traded – 591 AB .298/.393 31 HR – TEAM record IBB – 35 of 93 total BB = R.E.S.P.E.C.T.

David Eckstein
– 455 AB .272/.354

442 AB .267 .321

Everth Cabrera
– 570 AB .260/.350 35 SB

212 AB .208 .279 Injured most of season, Miguel Tejada in place when came off DL

Chase Headley
– 550 AB .275/.365 18 HR

610 AB .264/.327 11 HR – he regressed instead of progressing. Fell off face of earth in Sept.

Kyle Blanks
– 530 AB .265/.335 26 HR

102 AB .157 .283 3 HR Injured all season, on DL to stay in May

Tony Gwynn
– 380 AB .275/.355 21 SB

289 AB .204/.304 He stunk at plate, only reason he played as much as he did is outstanding Defense

Scott Hairston
– 425 AB .255/.315 17 HR

295 AB .210/.295 10 HR Only 83 AB after All Star break

Will Venable
– 500 AB .255/.330 22 HR 12 SB

392 AB .245/.324 13 HR 29 SB Ludwick trade & prolonged slumps limited playing time

Nick Hundley
– 405 AB .245/.315 14 HR

273 AB .249/.308 8 HR Hot Torrealba limited playing time

Bench
Jerry Hairston Jr
– 400 AB .257/.317 8 HR 10 SB

430 AB .244/.299 10 HR 9 SB

Oscar Salazar
– 240 AB .284/.344 10 hr

On DL much of season 131 AB .237/.318 3 HR

Matt Stairs
– 210 AB .242/.342 6 Hr

99 AB .232/.306 6 HR

Yorvit Torrealba
– 310 AB .235/.295 5 hr

325 AB .271/.343 7 HR Slumped mightily late, was hitting .300 on Aug 19
So come on folks, pick my picks apart. Let me know how you think I did!
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